New York Yankees team logo New York Yankees at Miami Marlins Miami Marlins team logo

NYY vs MIA Analysis • Friday, August 01, 2025 • 7:10 PM ET

Line Movement

Opening vs Current Lines

Yankees Opening: -164
Yankees Current: -170
Marlins Opening: 138
Marlins Current: 145
Data as of: August 01, 2025 at 09:41 AM ET

Betting Action

Bets
NYY
80%
MIA
20%
Money
NYY
75%
MIA
25%

Sharp Money Analysis

Sharp Money Detected
--
Public Fade Opportunity
Fade Target: ()
Bet %: 80.0%
Money %: 75.0%
Difference:
Signal: Fade public favorite

Win Probability SharpEdge Consensus

Model NYY MIA
Win % N/A N/A

Batting Analysis

BATTING
Days
NYYNYY vs MIAMIA
Batting Average
0.234
0.248
vs
0.228
0.239
Runs Scored per Game
4.9
5.5
vs
3.7
4.1
OPS
0.720
0.774
vs
0.690
0.686

Pitching Analysis

PITCHING
Days
NYYNYY vs MIAMIA
ERA
5.21
--
vs
2.33
--
WHIP
1.45
1.45
vs
1.07
1.07
Opponent Batting Average
--
--
vs
--
--
Strikeouts per Game
8.0
8.0
vs
8.2
8.2

Starting Pitchers

Team Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP K BB Opp AVG Grade
NYY Carlos Rodón (L) 11-7 3.19 1.05 147 47 0.189 Front-line
MIA Janson Junk (R) 5-2 3.28 1.08 44 5 0.264 Solid-plus

Bullpen Analysis

Team Bullpen ERA Available ERA Last 3 ERA
NYY 3.95 3.2 3.95
MIA 4.19 3.1 4.19

Team Records

RECORDS
NYY NYY vs MIA MIA
Last 30 Days
4
Wins
7
0.400
Win Percentage
0.700
6
Losses
3
4.8
Runs per Game
4.7
0.222
Batting Average
0.255
0.720
OPS
0.746
7.7
Strikeouts per Game
7.3
2.2
Walks per Game
2.8
4.8
RBI per Game
4.5
0.269
On-Base Percentage
0.321
0.2
Stolen Bases per Game
0.4
7.7
Hits per Game
8.9

Projections

Metric NYY MIA
Win Probability 69.38% 30.62%
Projected Score 5 3.5
Projected Total 8.5
Team Grade A D
Offense Grade A+ D-
Defense Grade A D
Key Player Grade (Pitcher) A- C-
First Half Score 3.5 2
First Half Win % 74.44% 25.56%

All Insights

Analysis Type Insight Confidence
Under Trend MIA games trending UNDER: The under hit in 14 of the Miami Marlins last 17 games at home High
Strong Trend MIA showing strong performance: The Miami Marlins are 9-3 (75.0%) in their last 12 games as an underdog Medium
Confidence Level Distribution
Under Trend
MIA
82%
Strong Trend
MIA
75%