Minnesota Twins team logo Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians team logo

MIN vs CLE Analysis • Friday, August 01, 2025 • 7:10 PM ET

Line Movement

Opening vs Current Lines

Twins Opening: -105
Twins Current: 105
Guardians Opening: -115
Guardians Current: -118
Data as of: August 01, 2025 at 09:41 AM ET

Betting Action

Bets
MIN
39%
CLE
61%
Money
MIN
24%
CLE
76%

Sharp Money Analysis

Sharp Money Detected
Target Team: ()
Money %: 76.0%
Bet %: 61.0%
Difference: +15.0%
Strength: Moderate
Public Fade Opportunity
Fade Target: ()
Bet %: 61.0%
Money %: 76.0%
Difference:
Signal: Fade public favorite

Win Probability SharpEdge Consensus

Model MIN CLE
Win % -- --

Batting Analysis

BATTING
Days
MINMIN vs CLECLE
Batting Average
0.230
0.247
vs
0.278
0.234
Runs Scored per Game
2.8
4.1
vs
5.0
4.9
OPS
0.651
0.731
vs
0.799
0.716

Pitching Analysis

PITCHING
Days
MINMIN vs CLECLE
ERA
6.33
--
vs
3.30
--
WHIP
1.34
1.34
vs
1.09
1.09
Opponent Batting Average
--
--
vs
--
--
Strikeouts per Game
8.4
8.4
vs
8.2
8.2

Starting Pitchers

Team Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP K BB Opp AVG Grade
MIN Joe Ryan (R) 10-5 2.82 0.92 137 24 0.201 Front-line
CLE Gavin Williams (R) 6-4 3.51 1.37 109 60 0.224 Below-average

Bullpen Analysis

Team Bullpen ERA Available ERA Last 3 ERA
MIN 3.68 3.1 3.68
CLE 4.42 3.2 4.42

Team Records

RECORDS
MIN MIN vs CLE CLE
Last 30 Days
51
Wins
8
0.472
Win Percentage
0.800
57
Losses
2
451.0
Runs per Game
5.6
--
Batting Average
0.224
--
OPS
0.728
--
Strikeouts per Game
8.1
--
Walks per Game
4.0
--
RBI per Game
5.6
--
On-Base Percentage
0.306
--
Stolen Bases per Game
0.8
--
Hits per Game
7.3

Projections

Metric MIN CLE
Win Probability 49.89% 50.11%
Projected Score 3.5 3.5
Projected Total 7.3
Team Grade B+ B-
Offense Grade B C
Defense Grade B+ B-
Key Player Grade (Pitcher) A B
First Half Score 2 2
First Half Win % 53.31% 46.69%

All Insights

Analysis Type Insight Confidence
Under Trend MIN games trending UNDER: The under hit in 8 of the Minnesota Twins last 10 games on the road High
Concerning Trend MIN struggling recently: The Minnesota Twins are 5-14 (26.3%) in their last 19 games on the road Medium
Confidence Level Distribution
Under Trend
MIN
80%
Concerning Trend
MIN
26%