Milwaukee Brewers team logo Milwaukee Brewers at Washington Nationals Washington Nationals team logo

MIL vs WSN Analysis • Friday, August 01, 2025 • 6:45 PM ET

Line Movement

Opening vs Current Lines

Brewers Opening: 134
Brewers Current: -150
Nationals Opening: 130
Nationals Current: 130
Data as of: August 01, 2025 at 09:41 AM ET

Betting Action

Bets
MIL
63%
WSN
37%
Money
MIL
91%
WSN
9%

Sharp Money Analysis

Sharp Money Detected
Target Team: ()
Money %: 91.0%
Bet %: 63.0%
Difference: +28.0%
Strength: Strong
Public Fade Opportunity
Fade Target: ()
Bet %: 63.0%
Money %: 91.0%
Difference:
Signal: Fade public favorite

Win Probability SharpEdge Consensus

Model MIL WSN
Win % -- --

Batting Analysis

BATTING
Days
MILMIL vs WSNWSN
Batting Average
0.262
0.264
vs
0.219
0.232
Runs Scored per Game
4.7
5.0
vs
3.8
3.9
OPS
0.773
0.728
vs
0.622
0.652

Pitching Analysis

PITCHING
Days
MILMIL vs WSNWSN
ERA
4.33
--
vs
4.19
--
WHIP
1.08
1.08
vs
1.45
1.45
Opponent Batting Average
--
--
vs
--
--
Strikeouts per Game
9.3
9.3
vs
6.7
6.7

Starting Pitchers

Team Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP K BB Opp AVG Grade
MIL Jose Quintana (L) 7-4 3.50 1.34 55 33 0.247 League-average
WSN Mitchell Parker (L) 7-10 4.91 1.41 74 42 0.264 Below-average

Bullpen Analysis

Team Bullpen ERA Available ERA Last 3 ERA
MIL 3.93 3.2 3.93
WSN 5.61 3.1 5.61

Team Records

RECORDS
MIL MIL vs WSN WSN
Last 30 Days
8
Wins
3
0.800
Win Percentage
0.300
2
Losses
7
5.5
Runs per Game
3.2
0.267
Batting Average
0.214
0.729
OPS
0.627
7.6
Strikeouts per Game
8.9
2.9
Walks per Game
2.5
5.2
RBI per Game
3.1
0.333
On-Base Percentage
0.266
1.0
Stolen Bases per Game
0.9
9.5
Hits per Game
7.1

Projections

Metric MIL WSN
Win Probability 62.02% 37.98%
Projected Score 5 4
Projected Total 9.1
Team Grade B- D
Offense Grade C+ D
Defense Grade B D-
Key Player Grade (Pitcher) B- D
First Half Score 2.5 2.5
First Half Win % 53.71% 46.29%

All Insights

Analysis Type Insight Confidence
Over Trend WSN games trending OVER: The over hit in 9 of the Washington Nationals last 12 games at home Medium
Confidence Level Distribution
Over Trend
WSN
75%