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PIT vs COL Analysis • Friday, August 01, 2025 • 8:10 PM ET

Line Movement

Opening vs Current Lines

Pirates Opening: -152
Pirates Current: -135
Rockies Opening: 128
Rockies Current: 125
Data as of: August 01, 2025 at 09:41 AM ET

Betting Action

Bets
PIT
53%
COL
47%
Money
PIT
68%
COL
32%

Sharp Money Analysis

Sharp Money Detected
Target Team: ()
Money %: 68.0%
Bet %: 53.0%
Difference: +15.0%
Strength: Moderate
Public Fade Opportunity
Fade Target: ()
Bet %: 47.0%
Money %: 32.0%
Difference: -15.0%
Signal: Fade public favorite

Win Probability SharpEdge Consensus

Model PIT COL
Win % -- --

Batting Analysis

BATTING
Days
PITPIT vs COLCOL
Batting Average
0.212
0.212
vs
0.190
0.246
Runs Scored per Game
3.2
2.9
vs
3.2
3.8
OPS
0.615
0.578
vs
0.596
0.694

Pitching Analysis

PITCHING
Days
PITPIT vs COLCOL
ERA
1.15
--
vs
8.40
--
WHIP
1.15
1.15
vs
1.70
1.70
Opponent Batting Average
--
--
vs
--
--
Strikeouts per Game
8.7
8.7
vs
6.6
6.6

Starting Pitchers

Team Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP K BB Opp AVG Grade
PIT Andrew Heaney (L) 5-9 4.79 1.27 78 35 0.248 Below-average
COL Antonio Senzatela (R) 4-14 6.68 1.84 55 36 0.349 Below-average

Bullpen Analysis

Team Bullpen ERA Available ERA Last 3 ERA
PIT 5.15 3.2 5.15
COL 3.70 3.1 3.70

Team Records

RECORDS
PIT PIT vs COL COL
Last 30 Days
4
Wins
6
0.400
Win Percentage
0.600
6
Losses
4
3.1
Runs per Game
4.7
0.224
Batting Average
0.271
0.610
OPS
0.764
8.8
Strikeouts per Game
10.1
2.7
Walks per Game
2.4
2.9
RBI per Game
4.5
0.285
On-Base Percentage
0.318
0.8
Stolen Bases per Game
0.3
7.8
Hits per Game
9.3

Projections

Metric PIT COL
Win Probability 64.67% 35.33%
Projected Score 7 5.5
Projected Total 12.5
Team Grade D+ F
Offense Grade D- F
Defense Grade C F
Key Player Grade (Pitcher) D+ F
First Half Score 4 3.5
First Half Win % 58.57% 41.43%

All Insights

Analysis Type Insight Confidence
Concerning Trend COL struggling recently: The Colorado Rockies are 10-27 (27.0%) in their last 37 games at home Medium
Under Trend COL games trending UNDER: The under hit in 12 of the Colorado Rockies last 17 games at home Medium
Confidence Level Distribution
Under Trend
COL
70%
Concerning Trend
COL
27%