New York Yankees team logo New York Yankees at Miami Marlins Miami Marlins team logo

NYY vs MIA Analysis • Friday, August 01, 2025 • 7:10 PM ET

Line Movement

Opening vs Current Lines

Yankees Opening: -116
Yankees Current: -118
Marlins Opening: -102
Marlins Current: 100
Data as of: August 02, 2025 at 09:23 AM ET

Betting Action

Bets
NYY
67%
MIA
33%
Money
NYY
80%
MIA
20%

Sharp Money Analysis

Sharp Money Detected
Target Team: ()
Money %: 80.0%
Bet %: 67.0%
Difference: +13.0%
Strength: Moderate
Public Fade Opportunity
Fade Target: ()
Bet %: 67.0%
Money %: 80.0%
Difference:
Signal: Fade public favorite

Win Probability SharpEdge Consensus

Model NYY MIA
Win % -- --

Batting Analysis

BATTING
Days
NYYNYY vs MIAMIA
Batting Average
0.249
0.248
vs
0.241
0.242
Runs Scored per Game
5.8
5.7
vs
5.0
4.6
OPS
0.753
0.771
vs
0.738
0.701

Pitching Analysis

PITCHING
Days
NYYNYY vs MIAMIA
ERA
6.08
--
vs
3.71
--
WHIP
1.45
1.45
vs
1.11
1.11
Opponent Batting Average
--
--
vs
--
--
Strikeouts per Game
8.1
8.1
vs
8.2
8.2

Starting Pitchers

Team Pitcher W-L ERA WHIP K BB Opp AVG Grade
NYY Cam Schlittler (R) 1-1 4.91 1.84 15 9 0.305 Below-average
MIA Eury Pérez (R) 3-3 3.07 0.95 46 15 0.172 Front-line

Bullpen Analysis

Team Bullpen ERA Available ERA Last 3 ERA
NYY 3.95 3.2 3.95
MIA 4.19 3.1 4.19

Team Records

RECORDS
NYY NYY vs MIA MIA
Last 30 Days
60
Wins
53
0.545
Win Percentage
0.491
50
Losses
55
576.0
Runs per Game
466.0
0.357
Batting Average
0.316
0.982
OPS
1.026
8.4
Strikeouts per Game
7.2
2.9
Walks per Game
2.8
5.5
RBI per Game
4.3
0.386
On-Base Percentage
0.447
0.8
Stolen Bases per Game
0.7
8.7
Hits per Game
8.3

Projections

Metric NYY MIA
Win Probability -- --
Projected Score -- --
Projected Total --
Team Grade -- --
Offense Grade -- --
Defense Grade -- --
Key Player Grade (Pitcher) -- --
First Half Score -- --
First Half Win % -- --

All Insights

Analysis Type Insight Confidence
Strong Trend MIA showing strong performance: The Miami Marlins are 10-3 (76.9%) in their last 13 games as an underdog Medium
Under Trend MIA games trending UNDER: The under hit in 21 of the Miami Marlins last 27 games at home Medium
Confidence Level Distribution
Under Trend
MIA
77%
Strong Trend
MIA
76%